Dealers warn of capital squeeze from increased FX hedging


A surge in uncollateralised foreign exchange forwards hedging from buy-side clients could put bank balance sheets under pressure, dealers warn.

FX hedge ratios at asset managers and pension funds have not materially increased in 2025, despite the selloff in the US dollar in the second quarter. This may change, though, as narrowing interest rate differentials could reduce costs for foreign investors hedging their US assets through FX forwards.

FX forwards and swaps trades between dealers and

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Asset managersBuy sideCapitalCapital requirementsCurrency hedgingdealersFX forwardsFX swapshedgingIncreasedJP MorganliquidityNew York Foreign Exchange CommitteeOTC derivativesPricingsqueezeState StreetTradingubsUnited States (US)warn
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